STATISTICS

UPDATED Oct 25

Week 35 statistics

I have been working on the statistics for the past 3 weeks and they have had me much puzzled. There have been No cases since the end of September but there have still been a few culls on suspicion. Apart from that, the DEFRA website says (as it has done for ages) that there will inevitably be fluctuations as figures are checked and revised. However, as you will notice the number of premises culled out has risen by 87 in the past 3 weeks - this is thankfully less than the 146 premises (plus 17 cases) in weeks 30 to 32 - but it is still quite a lot of premises that have apparently not been on the lists before. Why not? Unless they are in new places contiguous to the suspicious ones?

The number of animals slaughtered goes up and down a bit like a yo-yo! But the trend of the totals is still upwards. I don't understand what they are doing - according to the website and a broadcast I heard - the actual slaughter statistics come from the bills submitted by the slaughtermen. The classification of the premises (on the full database - remember we only have access to the Infected Premises!) is presumably done at the point when it is decided to slaughter - which is presumably why some of the Direct Contacts- Contiguous and Direct Contacts non-contiguous have been moved from one column to the other) - and that is easy to understand as a mix-up in definition for a particular premise which has been straightened out. I can even believe that they move the animals from one county to another - their addressing was always a little strange and the list of slaughter counties (even for IPs) does not match to the list of counties where IPs have been 'confirmed'.

BUT why are the numbers changing? What are they doing at DEFRA - checking every bill they ever had and retyping it into the data base? And why do the number of animals decrease? Are those the bills they couldn't read or can't agree? What happens to these negative animals? They certainly aren't alive again - were they never dead? Or just not counted.

Whatever is going on - it seems as much of a mess as ever - I can't put my finger on it - but the numbers don't add up! And the story is, as ever, inconsistent, incomplete and probably inaccurate.

I will keep digging!

Valerie


Week 32 statistics

Dear All The statistics are a little late - although there are physically less of them there have been subtle differences in presentation - not sure they are significant, probably not - after all, if there are no longer numbers for 'animals waiting disposal' perhaps that means that after 31 weeks of slaughter they have finally managed to dispose of the animals in the same day!

Similarly I'd like to think the reason that the statistics were not posted on most days last week until the middle of the following day were that the person who does them has the week off - but it doesn't quite feel that way!
Figures have been posted by 6pm ever since the cutoff time was changed to 17.00 back in June - before that I often had to wait until 10pm to get that days figures! And lately the daily reports have not been done every day - although the killing goes on at a fairly substantial rate.

Please note that weekly kill figures (Monday to Sunday) were according to Defra daily slaughter statistics :

Week 29 (ending 09 September) - 49000 slaughtered (7000 per day)
Week 30 (ending 16 September) - 19000 slaughtered (2700 per day)
Week 31 (ending 23 September) - 21000 slaughtered (3000 per day)
Week 32 (ending 30 September) - 17000 slaughtered (2400 per day)
These don't match their report last night which said:

Daily average of animals slaughtered
For week ending Sunday 30 September - 1,000
For week ending Sunday 23 September - 2,000
For week ending Sunday 16 September - 2,000
For week ending Sunday 09 September - 6,000

Good to see that they think they kill less by the week than the total they write down per day!

Besides these simple inconsistencies - the plain facts are that there were still 4 cases reported as such last week, two of which, as always were NEW outbreaks. The number of contiguous premises culled out has gone down somewhat - to 17 - probably because ONE of the Northumberland cases had already had their stock slaughtered and (hopefully) no further contiguous premises could be found nearby. There are still 6 times as many animals killed as just those on the Infected Premises.

And despite the small number of cases there were still animals killed on Infected Premises in Cumbria, Devonshire, Hereford & Worcester, Northumberland, Shropshire and Staffordshire.

Make of it what you will
Valerie Week 31 statistics Val comments:only 6 IPs - BUT 3 NEW outbreaks - and 66 premises culled out for the 6 cases and 21000 animals culled for only less than 2000 on the IPs This is getting completely out of hand! The maps show that in some parts the disease 'goes down the road' - as in Cumbria - which shows it must be spread by something! as it is not windborne

Week 30 stats - only 7 cases BUT more than 8 contiguous premises per IP - and 6 times as many animals slaughtered as on the IP's also!

The cases seem to be less - but I suspect it may not be consistent reporting - again, some are two premises for ONE owner Oh and of course - only 4 places for the IPs - all four are NEW outbreaks, several kms from previous ones!

So it is still spreading all over the place

week 29 - worrying trends continue

a vast amount of killing (49000) - very few new contiguous premises (presume killing is at the 100 new premises found last week!) and only 17 cases

However, as always, there are at least 3 NEW outbreaks - and others that are probably past the incubation period.

And now (look at the AAS column for Animals already slaughtered) - very few where these are the results of 'old' or previous blood tests

another worrying note - several recently have been reinfections for people already infected (often some time ago) - albeit at separate sites


Statistics for week 28 (up to Sept 2 ) confirm the worrying trend - number of cases down (slightly) BUT number of NEW outbreaks dramatically up - for the past few weeks it is 5 or 6 per week - as opposed to the 2 or 3 previously

Part of this could be that I am now much more accurate about the post codes (now I look at the map as well!) BUT repeats are now coming back months later

Clearly, with the maps of the Northumberland 'cases' showing very large distances - and miles and miles of moorland - there seems to be no logic in it whatsoever. Without some other strategy (ie vaccination) they will never stop it this year, next year......

Very depresisng news Statistics for Week 28... The graph from Lawrence Alderson's Foot-and-Mouth Disease in the United Kingdom 2001; its cause, course, control and consequences Please read Lawrence Alderson's paper . Paper presented at RBI/EAAP/FAO meeting in Budapest on 23 August 2001 . It confirms everything that we have been saying for seven months.

Sept 3 ~ Comment from Val: The number of 'NEW' areas is now accelerating every week For the past 15 weeks I have been highlighting how many 'NEW' outbreaks there are each week Every week there have been 2 or 3 areas where confirmed cases of FMD have occured where it is either absolutely new OR more than a month since the last case (often more than 2 months) For the last 3 weeks these have been growing to 5 or 6 NEW outbreaks per week

Surely this must be obvious to DEFRA too- not a tail - just an unstoppable juggernaut! If they vaccinated, even the IPs, they would slow it down to a halt! and then they could stop it

Aug 28 Here are the statistics for week 27.

As Val says, they are a nightmare..... northumberland is being hyped up in the media - i presume deliberately please note that 2 premises with same owners have suddenly started being counted as 2 cases! they stopped doing that when they wanted the numbers to reduce!

also oddly, and perhaps sadly, note Mrs Maughan - that is the 8th Maughan so far - rest are nearby in Cumbria - I was about to comment on this last week - how sad etc etc

Northumberland does appear to have clusters - in fact my map shows exactly where all the farms are - worrying exactly who will be todays IPs

August 24 Figures for week 26 i.e. from August 13th - 19th

As Val comments - as ever, far too many 'new' places -I'm using much 'finer' coding now - actually look at the maps rather than just the post codes - and it's a nightmare (of course I don't see where the contiguous cull premises are (or the slaughter on suspicion) unless they turn out positive on testing - very few of those lately....

Odd Numbers ~ Aug 13

This week's (Defra) slaughter stats show new categories by County - as well as Cattle, Sheep, Pigs and Goats as before, there are now categories for DEER and OTHER slaughtered as Infected Premises (IPs), Contiguous, DCs and Slaughtered on Suspicion

I had all the animals on the list of IPs so, I just compared them to the NEW tables

The oddest are the OTHERs - the database yields 252 animals killed on IPs - 6 llamas, 142 alpacas and 104 water buffalo - the DEFRA stats show 224 animals only on IPs.

On Contiguous premises though, DEFRA shows 5728 animals - 5000 in Powys, 500 in Monmouthshire and 200 in North Yorkshire. Oddly enough, the 'slaughter' statistics are supposed to be more accurate than the 'daily' statistics because they are supposed to match to slaughterman's bills. Odd these round numbers then?

Odder still - what kind of animals were they? Anyone have a clue? 5000 is a very large herd (or herds) of something else that could be affected by FMD - remember these are NOT welfare culls. So what are they? What is being farmed in Powys?

DEER - the total number killed is 509 - of which 400 are 'non-contiguous deer killed in Cumbria. Where? And Why? Are these on farms or out on the hills? The 3 deer on the main daily database killed in County Durham aren't on the slaughter stats - only IP's animals shown in Berwickshire, Cumbria and North Yorkshire.

GOATS - the slaughter stats show 888 on IPs - rather more than the 701 on the daily listings - of course the Counties listed do not match those on the IP's lists; and there were more than 1000 killed on Contiguous premises

Anyone who wants the exact details for GOATS, DEER or OTHER please EMAIL Val OFFLIST -

Please let me know if you have more details - especially WHAT ARE THEY FARMING IN WALES? Surely not the ostriches down the road from me who have vanished because they are building a garden centre..

Valerie


Week 24

Week 23

Week 22 to Sunday 22/7

Cumbria Appleby 2 cases

Gosforth 81 days since last case 1case
Kirkby Stephen 3 cases, 1 old
Shap 9 cases, 3 old
Torpenhow 86 days since last case ,1 case
Powys Crickhowell 4 cases

Lancashire Wigan NEW area 1 case, 1 old


North Yorkshire Settle 1 case
Skipton 1 case, 1 old
Thirsk 3 cases

East Barnby NEW area 1 case

Monmouthshire Gilwern NEW area 1 case

Total 13 areas, 5 new outbreaks, 28 cases, 6 old

Animals on week 22 IPs 11489
Animals killed week 22 37000
New contiguous premises week 22 116
Cases week 22 28
Cases by end week 22 1880
July 22 ~ there were 28 cases this week - only 6 of those were OLD (ie the stock previously slaughtered as a DC or SOS or some other acronym)

NEW outbreaks in Gilwern, Monmouthshire
East Barmby in North Yorkshire (near Whitby),
and Wigan (but thats an old case - very odd!)

Two of the Cumbrian cases (now more than 800!) were at Gosforth and Torpenhow - no cases there for more than 80 days.


From The Dundee Courier on July 21 More than three-and-a-half million livestock have been slaughtered since the outbreak was first confirmed in late February. Of these, 2,883,000 have been sheep, around 7% to 8% of the national flock. (These figures are nonsensical - but at least the Dundee Courier is trying)

There are an estimated 200,000 farms or holdings in the UK and of that total some 8811 have so far seen their livestock cleared out and killed. The total statistics do not reveal any part of the individual problems or scale of operation, but so far the largest single casualty, in numerical terms, is the Cumbrian farmer, with some 2737 cattle destroyed. The same area provided the biggest loser in sheep terms, with some 7000 belonging to one owner falling foul of the disease

A Gloucester-based pig breeder lost his 3000-strong pig herd, and in the killing and chilling statistics more than 2000 goats have been slaughtered.

These figures do not provide any gauge of the quality pedigree stock that have been and are being lost.

Again, these figures only relate to the foot-and-mouth disease eradication scheme. Another one-and-a-quarter million head of livestock have been slaughtered in the past three months under the Animal Welfare Disposal Scheme. This scheme was brought in by the Government to deal with cases where livestock were caught up in areas where they could not be moved for fear of spreading the disease.

Welfare concerns saw almost one million sheep being slaughtered in this scheme.

The direct bill for the whole of the epidemic is now stretching into billions of pounds and the estimates for the knock-on effects are as yet impossible to gauge.

One example of the latter was provided this week by John Duncan, the chief executive of the biggest milk buying co-operative in the UK. "So far, it has cost us around half-a-million pounds in additional costs," he said. "These include increased haulage charges, as precautions had to be taken going on to farms. "They also include disinfecting and re-routing vehicles." His co-operative has lost some 100 milk producers in Scotland as well as a number in the south of England, where it also operates.

* Three new cases of foot-and-mouth disease were reported yesterday, two in Cumbria and one in North Yorkshire. There were 29 new cases this week, bringing the total for the outbreak to 1844.


Statistics for week 21 - and totals for past 8 weeks. Deeply disturbing
Daily Statistics (The source is the Maff/Defra site but statistics are arranged more sensibly) Weeks start on Mondays

Week 20 (up to 8th July)

Totals up to July 8th

WEEK 18 dated 18th-24th June - details as at Saturday 23rd June

Cumbria Appleby 6
Penrith 5 (3 new, 2 AAS)
Carlisle 1
Keswick 1
North Yorkshire Skipton 1
Northallerton 1
Whitby 1
Lancashire Clitheroe 2
Powys Brecon 1 (first since 14/5 - 35 days since last )

CUMBRIA NOW 750 cases - how many farms slaughtered? - 4000 or is it MORE?
Total this week (Mon-Sat) 17 new cases, 6 already slaughtered - total 10
Last week 33 (24new, 9 animals already slaughtered - in 10 different areas)
Animals on this weeks IPs 8186
Animals killed this week 53000
New contiguous premises this week 82
Cases this week 23

Analysis based on Postcode start/major town - general geographical area - I know Penrith and Appleby are essentially the same area - but it has to be broken up some way -

WEEK 18 dated 18th-24th June - details as at Monday 18th June

Cumbria Appleby 1 new case
Cumbria Penrith 1 case
North Yorks Skipton 1 case

Total this week 3 new cases

Last week 33 (24new, 9 animals already slaughtered - in 10 different areas)

Animals on IPs 20279
Animals killed last week 83000
New contiguous premises last week 117
Cases last week 33

WEEK 17 dated 11th-17th June -

details for Thursday 14th June

Cumbria Appleby 1 case (AAS, last 7 days ago)
Cumbria Keswick 1 Case (last 11 days ago)
Cumbria Penrith 2 cases (1 AAS)
North Yorks Skipton 3 cases (last case 2 days ago - 1 AAS)
Northallerton 2 case (last 2 days ago, 1AAS)
Lancashire Colne 1 cases - NEW AREA!!!!
Lancashire Clitheroe 2 cases
Devon Tiverton (NEW) - 4 cases
Somerset Wellington - NEW area - 2 cases , 1 AAS
Total this week 13 new cases, 5 AAS, 0 old cases - total this week to date = 18
WORRY: 3 COMPLETELY NEW AREAS!!

Animals on this weeks IPs 9393
Animals slaughtered this week 40000 (Monday to Wednesday)
New IPs this week 13
New Contiguous premises this week to date (MON-WED) 60
Explanation: Infected Premises (IP = confirmed cases).
AAS means 'animals already slaughtered' which implies this 'case' was previously a 'dangerous contact' or 'slaughter on suspicion' which has blood tested positive and so is now classed as an IP
Analysis based on Postcode start/major town - general geographical area
(weeks start Mondays).

WEEK 17 dated 11th-17th June - details for Monday 11th June

Cumbria Appleby 1 case (AAS, last 7 days ago)
Cumbria Keswick 1 Case (last 11 days ago)
North Yorks Skipton 2 cases (last case 2 days ago - 1 AAS)
Northallerton 1 case (last 2 days ago)
Lancashire Colne 1 cases - NEW AREA!!!!

Total this week 6 new cases, 2 AAS, 0 old cases - total this week to date = 6 WORRY:1 COMPLETELY NEW AREA!!

Animals on todays IPs 2218
Animals slaughtered last week 79000 (with Sunday)
IPs this week 6

Contiguous premises last week 171

Daily Statistics for Sunday 10 June
Have added in premises and animals slaughtered by request

WEEK 16 dated 4th-10th June - details for Sunday 10th June


Cumbria Appleby 1 case (last 8 days ago)
Penrith 6 cases (last 1 day ago, 4 AAS, 2 new premises)
Carlisle 1 case (last 19 days ago)
North Yorks Ripon 1 case - NEW AREA
Skipton 4 cases (last case 4 days ago)
Settle 2 case (last 12 days ago - both AAS, no new premises)
Whitby 2 cases (last 59 days ago! - 1 AAS)
Yarm 1 case (last 5 days ago)
Northallerton 1 case (last 8 days ago)
Lancashire Clitheroe 8 cases (last case 2 days ago, 1 AAS, 7 new premises)
N. Ireland 4 cases only counted now
Somerset Bridgwater 1 case - NEW AREA

Total this week 20 new cases, 9 AAS, 4 old cases - total this week to date = 33
WORRY:2 COMPLETELY NEW AREAS!!

Animals on this weeks IPs 16180
Animals slaughtered this week 71000 (still Sunday to go)
IPs this week 33
Contiguous premises this week 132

Explanation:
Infected Premises (IP = confirmed cases).

AAS means 'animals already slaughtered' which implies this 'case' was previously a 'dangerous contact' or 'slaughter on suspicion' which has blood tested positive and so is now classed as an IP

Analysis based on Postcode start/major town - general geographical area

(weeks start Mondays).

WEEK 16 dated 4th-10th June - details for Thursday 7th June

Cumbria Appleby 1 case (last 8 days ago)
Penrith 6 cases (last 1 day ago, 4 AAS, 2 new premises)

Carlisle 1 case (last 19 daysago)
North Yorks Ripon 1 case - NEW AREA
Skipton 3 cases (last case 4 days ago)
Settle 1 case (last 12 days ago - AAS, no new premises)
Lancashire Clitheroe 4 cases (last case 2 days ago, 1 AAS, 3 new premises)
N. Ireland 4 cases only counted now

Total 11 new cases, 6 AAS, 4 old cases - total this week to date = 21

Infected Premises (IP = confirmed cases). AAS means 'animals already slaughtered' which implies this 'case' was previously a 'dangerous contact' or 'slaughter on suspicion' which has blood tested positive and so is now classed as an IP
Analysis based on Postcode start/major town - general geographical area
(weeks start Mondays).

Table of Slaughter Figures which shows how the current outbreaks seem to be spreading.

See here for comparison of "contiguous" premises to "infected" premises comparison contiguous/ "infected"

See figures below - 'strange' isn't it that they can report stats on % slaughtered at IPs within 24 hours for the week ending 23rd May but can't report daily averages for weeks after week ending 13th May - but of course they don't want us to know how dramatically the numbers have risen since due to new hotspot(s). Whether or not they massage the data (and we know they do) they certainly choose which numbers to publish immediately and which they choose to sit on for a while! They also seem to be disposing of more animals than they kill in recent weeks! Yet we're told there have been no disposal backlogs for weeks.

Daily average of animals slaughtered
For week ending Sunday 13 May - 9,000
For week ending Sunday 6 May - 16,000
For week ending Sunday 29 April - 30,000
For week ending Sunday 22 April - 58,000
For week ending Sunday 15 April - 77,000
For week ending Sunday 8 April - 80,000
For week ending Sunday 1 April - 65,000
For week ending Sunday 25 March - 37,000
Daily average of animals disposed of
For week ending Sunday 13 May - 11,000
For week ending Sunday 6 May - 21,000
For week ending Sunday 29 April - 40,000
For week ending Sunday 22 April - 69,000
For week ending Sunday 15 April - 75,000
For week ending Sunday 8 April - 83,000
For week ending Sunday 1 April - 50,000
For week ending Sunday 25 March - 31,000

Please see statistics May 24th HERE


(Earlier information)

I live in Durham and was told from a very good source that 4 farms have been culled on suspicion over the last 4 weeks in Durham. 1 at Woodland, another at Hamsterly, as for the other 2 farms I couldn't find out where they are. May 12

Lancashire section - Thornbush, Roeburndale has still not had bloodtest results - a long time after the case was "confirmed". This was a slaughter on suspicion case - probably on vets checking it after visiting nextdoor neighbour Quarry House Farm who owned the animals involved at the Over Kellet case (Swarthdale). Not sure whether Swarfdale was infact positive but a farmer in Roeburndale has told me that all the 7 farms culled in the valley were negative. Thornbush itself usually gets animals with lesions (cattle & sheep) at that time of the year- regular occurance it seems, so sounds like that too was a negative and they are suppressing results to hide the fact. Still not discovered what other cases here were actually neg but I believe the initial Halton Park was a definite - he had a farm at Beattock too and commuted between the two. He also bought stock from Longtown.

Forest Hall on the A6 just north of Kendal is another one with delayed results. The contiguous farms (think there were 4) had samples taken the same day and one farmer was told he was neg. This case is well away from any other outbreaks and is slap bang on the road although the affected animals were on the fells in a secluded valley.

Noticed that we now have cases at Langcliffe just north of Settle, N Yorkshire. I was told today that one of the farms concerned is owned by a Mr Robinson, who goes everywhere and has land all over the place. This may link it to Hawes or Wensleydale which are the nearest outbreaks but is worrying as to where it may spread next.

I think there is bound to be a case near Sedbergh soon to link up Hawes with S Lakes. We will then have a nice neat line from west to east across northern England for MAFF to use as a firebreak. No doubt that is why East Yorks is on standby.

There were cases near Brough just off A66 - Brough Sowerby and Gt & Lt Musgrave just the other side of Kirkby Stephen. Everything is intact livestock wise below there - or was last week. North of there - nothing !

I have just found out today that the latest case confirmed here is very near Raby Castle and may mean they will have to cull the Deer. I spoke to my vet about this today but he is not in favour of vaccination and even told me that all animals should be treated the same even pets, looks like I will be looking for a new vet practice to treat my animals.


Noticed that we now have cases at Langcliffe just north of Settle, N Yorkshire. I was told today that one of the farms concerned is owned by a Mr Robinson, who goes everywhere and has land all over the place. This may link it to Hawes or Wensleydale which are the nearest outbreaks but is worrying as to where it may spread next.

I think there is bound to be a case near Sedbergh soon to link up Hawes with S Lakes. We will then have a nice neat line from west to east across northern England for MAFF to use as a firebreak. No doubt that is why East Yorks is on standby.

( Robinson Elford has now been classed as a "Confirmed case" on Maff figures.)

TWO MORE CONFIRMED CASES

FOOT and mouth showed no signs of abating in North Northumberland this week as two new cases were confirmed at Bamburgh and Seahouses. At Bill Robinson's Elford Farm in Seahouses, the disease was confirmed in 40 cattle, 150 sheep and lambs on Thursday while at Alistair Johnson's Fowberry Farm, Bamburgh, 55 sheep, three lambs and six pigs were slaughtered the following day. Animals on a further two farms classed as dangerous contacts were slaughtered and while MAFFwould not release the names of the farms, 1,274 sheep and one pig were killed as a result of the Fowberry case with 87 cattle and 862 sheep culled on a farm connected to Elford. Mr Robinson, who has lived and farmed at Elford for almost 60 years, said he had "no idea" how the disease had got on to his farm. He added: "We have lost all our stock and it is a devastating blow for all my family."


One question you might like to put forward yourself refers to the situation here in Devon. MAFF figures say that in the North of Devon where I live there have been no outbreaks for a week .
We cannot get a vet to put up some treatment for our ponies because the practice tell us that since last Thursday they have all been out , all day , with MAFF and were certainly culling on Sunday - one vets first appointment at 8am was with 500 sheep .


NEARLY 300 sheep were slaughtered at the weekend (May 6/7) after foot and mouth was suspected at a farm near Whitby.


Manor House Farm, at Sneaton, run by Richard and Yvonne Wilkinson, is a mile away from Ashes Farm, Ruswarp, which suffered an outbreak several weeks ago. The cause of that outbreak is still being investigated. Another suspected case at the weekend involved a sheep farm at Moorsholm, between Whitby and Guisborough. The two suspected cases came as it was believed the foot and mouth crisis was easing. It is understood Ministry of Agriculture vets had been blood-testing animals in the Sneaton area to see if restrictions on movement could be lifted. John Seymour, who represents the North Riding of Yorkshire on the council of the National Farmers Union in London, said the news was "devastating".


This new case is I've been told today is around 3k from Raby home farm, but they are also culling the contiguous farm which is around 1 and a half kilometres from Raby Castle, lots of wild free deer all around this area. I have also been told there have been 4 other cases culled on suspicion in this part of Durham over the last couple of weeks which have never appeared on the list, unfortunately my contact tells me they never get to hear what the test results are on the cases


Westmorland Gazette articles today (May4) mentioned that there were 11 outbreaks with 63 farms culled out. Plus another article mentioning that a farm culled out next to the singleton case at Forest Hall on the A6 had to repeatedly ask for the results of their bloodtests - they were negative. The test for the alleged confirmed case at Forest Hall was taken the same day - and the result still not known. This is another isolated case well away from all other outbreaks.

Lancashire section - Thornbush, Roeburndale has still not had bloodtest results - a long time after the case was "confirmed". This was a slaughter on suspicion case - probably on vets checking it after visiting nextdoor neighbour Quarry House Farm who owned the animals involved at the Over Kellet case (Swarthdale). Not sure whether Swarfdale was infact positive but a farmer in Roeburndale has told me that all the 7 farms culled in the valley were negative. Thornbush itself usually gets animals with lesions (cattle & sheep) at that time of the year- regular occurance it seems, so sounds like that too was a negative and they are suppressing results to hide the fact. Still not discovered what other cases here were actually neg but I believe the initial Halton Park was a definite - he had a farm at Beattock too and commuted between the two. He also bought stock from Longtown.

Forest Hall on the A6 just north of Kendal is another one with delayed results. The contiguous farms (think there were 4) had samples taken the same day and one farmer was told he was neg. This case is well away from any other outbreaks and is slap bang on the road although the affected animals were on the fells in a secluded valley.

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