County Figures The sheets with the data sent from The House of Commons Library to this website, cite the Source is being "DEFRA Disease control System database as at 17:30 04/12/01 Figures subject to change as more data becomes available"
Positive test results from contiguous culls according to this data?
NONE as at Dec 4th 2001.
Not one test reported positive from over 3305 premises "culled out" as part of the Imperial College plan of killing at "contiguous" premises according to this data
"Dangerous Contacts" in England, Wales and Scotland numbered 7178 (this included the 3305 above).
396 were sampled and there was 1 (one) positive result recorded.*Mar 20 ~ We are asked that the information that 0 of the 3305 "Contiguous" cases having positive results returned be amended to 120 out of 2960
Warmwell has been informed that the DEFRA note about 274 cases that returned positive results after the publication of the county figures makes it important to adjust the figures quoted on this website.
240 "dangerous contacts" of which 120 were "contiguous culls" and 54 Slaughter on Suspicion cases have now been included as "Infected Premises". Or:
IPs - 1450 current, 1184 sampled and 883 positive results.
SOSs - 256 current, 249 sampled and 54 positive.
DCs - 5377 current, 559 sampled and 221 positive.... Of which contiguous - 2960 current, 320 sampled and 120 positive)
This is said to account for the increase of 250,000 slaughtered animals since September 30th. (We do not know - and cannot find out - in which counties these "new" IPs are to be found.)
We therefore print this information and the figures below must be viewed in the light of that information.
WHEN were the results "later returned"? WHERE were they? Were these late results received after or before Dec 4th?
If a Dangerous Contact premises can be later termed an "Infected Premises" why are there so many IPs that returned negative results still referred to by that category?
How many recorded infected premises (IPs) were confirmed as laboratory positive? Similarly for dangerous contacts (DCs), Contiguous Premises (CPs) and Slaughter on Suspicion (SOSs).
How are the untested "IP" distinguished from "SOS"?
What criteria were used to identify the "IP" that were not laboratory-tested?
Of those tested, what type of sample was taken and how many samples of each type?
What percentage of each category of premises that were laboratory tested was virus and/or antigen positive? What percentage was antibody positive? What percentage was both antigen and antibody positive?
Is not the time between September and December a very long time for a laboratory result to come back?
*The single positive DC is explained on a note at the end of the data sheets, again in very large print. Read it here.It should be borne in mind that the "counties" referred to here would appear to be according to the 1979 bounderies. Information on this point would be gratefully received
(The use of the PCR testing device (details on warmwell), offered to Pirbright for testing in March last year, could have saved many farms.)
County Figures requested by visitors to warmwell.com ....
Results for "Cornwall" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Cornwall figures as at Dec 4th 2001 4 1 22 12 27 Tested 2 1 3 0 6 Positive results returned 1 0 0 0 1
Results for "Cheshire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Cheshire figures as at Dec 4th 2001 17 3 33 15 53 Tested 16 3 5 3 34 Positive results returned 7 0 0 0 7
Results for "Cumbria" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Cumbria figures as at Dec 4th 2001 892 41 1911 680 2844 Tested 761 37 108 58 906 Positive results returned 675 0 1 0 676
Results for "Devonshire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Devon figures as at Dec 4th 2001 172 39 801 553 1012 Tested 143 39 28 8 210 Positive results returned 98 0 0 0 98
Results for "Gloucestershire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered Gloucestershire figures as at Dec 4th 2001 72 15 259 218 346 Tested 46 15 24 23 85 Positive results returned 13 0 0 0 13
Results for "Hereford and Worcester" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Hereford and Worcester figures as at Dec 4th 2001 66 17 311 173 394 Tested 49 16 13 7 78 Positive results returned 15 0 0 0 15
Results for "Lancashire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Lancashire figures as at Dec 4th 2001 53 3 215 167 271 Tested 51 2 22 16 75 Positive results returned 44 0 0 0 44
Results for "Northumberland" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Northumberland figures as at Dec 4th 2001 88 12 313 201 413 Tested 75 12 22 16 109 Positive results returned 58 0 0 0 58
Results for "Powys" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Powys figures as at Dec 4th 2001 74 14 304 200 392 Tested 67 12 11 6 90 Positive results returned 44 0 0 0 44
Results for "Roxburgh" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Roxburgh figures as at Dec 4th 2001 6 3 64 30 73 Tested 6 3 11 6 20 Positive results returned 4 0 0 0 4
Results for "Shropshire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Shropshire figures as at Dec 4th 2001 12 6 113 49 131 Tested 8 5 4 0 17 Positive results returned 5 0 0 0 5
Results for "Somerest" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
Somerset figures as at Dec 4th 2001 9 5 45 25 59 Tested 9 5 3 3 17 Positive results returned 8 0 0 0 8
Results for "North Yorkshire" County data "Infected Premises" Slaughter on Suspicion Dangerous Contacts... ..of which "contiguous" Total premises slaughtered
North Yorkshire figures as at Dec 4th 2001 133 20 611 488 764 Tested 132 20 63 48 215 Positive results returned 122 0 0 0 122 Only a small fraction of "DCs" were blood-tested ( probably fewer than 10%). The suspicion is that the blood-testing stopped when too many negatives were being returned. It would be interesting to know when and why the testing stopped (if it did). It would also be interesting to know how many of the "DC" farms the 400 + falsely diagnosed IPs were responsible for, and how much compensation had to be paid to the farmers of those farms.
More county results will be posted up as requests are received. Local papers, if still giving erroneous figures, could perhaps be put straight.
Find details for national and local papers
http://www.parliament.the-stationery-office.co.uk/cgi-bin/htm_hl?DB=ukparl&
STEMMER=en&WORDS=foot+mouth+&COLOUR=Red&STYLE=&URL
=/pa/cm200102/cmhansrd/cm020108/text/20108w51.htm#20108w51.html_spnew5Mr. Peter Ainsworth:
To ask the Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (1) on how many premises culling took place of (a) cattle, (b) sheep, (c) pigs and (d) other animals under the (i) infected premises, (ii) dangerous contact, (iii) slaughter on suspicion and (iv) contiguous cull schemes operating during the foot and mouth disease outbreak broken down by (A) county and (B) region; and how many samples were taken and how many positive tests were found at each premises; [16713] (2) how many (a) infected premises and (b) contiguous premises were recorded during the foot and mouth disease outbreak broken down by (i) county and (ii) region; and how many samples were collected in each case. [16714]Margaret Beckett:
I will place the information requested in the Library of the House today. 8 Jan 2002 : Column: 728W
The figures are just figures. But they represent the most brutal and heartbreaking scenes that were enacted over and over again. The stories of farmers caught up in the horror ought to be read by every person who feels "detached" and cannot real see what "all the fuss" is about. Try Pat's Story on the farmtalking site.