UK FMD Contingency Plan
No Plan and no
Para 4 says 'It is not possible to prescribe in
detail which strategy will
be followed in advance'.
It is possible, and
the essential job of government to do exact that.
The strategy is to have no
plan, for mathematicians to make one up as the
This is a plan for crisis management, for disease control not
The aim of the plan is to minimise effects on animal welfare,
human health, the environment and costs. The government can set
group against another to their own advantage.
government wants 'a shared understanding' of the factors that influence
choice of control options.
The government does not need a range of options to
dither over as they
respond to political influence and opinion. Only
epidemiologists need that.
We need to agree on one policy now that will
quickly and definitely lead to
the outcomes wanted.
That policy is
immediate mass vaccination, an option that is not included in
Science is carefully excluded from the
Paragraph 21 says the Government is committed to using new
only where this is justified by sound veterinary,
21(e) the government will publish an
outline of the reasons why such a cull
22 The government
would justify its decision to use the slaughter powers,
veterinary, epidemiological and OTHER RELEVANT FACTORS THAT
HAD BEEN TAKEN
Science is mentioned in 21 but when defining what they will
These other factors could include economic
factors but could exclude science
by arguing that the science is not sound.
Science is consensual, so by
getting one government scientist to disagree
the government can claim it is
Chop down Defra's decision
tree. Decide on a policy now.